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Manurewa vs Cashmere Technical

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Coughlan G.
36' Event
Coughlan G.
41' Event
Leadley S.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2023 game between Manurewa and Cashmere Technical finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manurewa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Manurewa
15%
Draws
54%
Cashmere Technical
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cashmere Technical come out ahead of Manurewa on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Cashmere Technical taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Manurewa Clean Sheet 10%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manurewa Cashmere Technical
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.46 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 National League
Manurewa vs Cashmere Technical
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manurewa Compare

Top Goalscorer Leadley S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ozawa B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cashmere Technical Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlan G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schwarz T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.06
Avg xA / game 1.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manurewa 10 / 100
Cashmere Technical 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manurewa Cashmere Technical

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cashmere Technical Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cashmere Technical let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Solid form: Manurewa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Manurewa scored in 54% of their last 13 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manurewa VS Cashmere Technical
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Manurewa

(Home)
27 Jul
Wellington Olympic
4 : 0
Manurewa
06 Jul
Manurewa
3 : 2
Onehunga Mangere
01 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 0
Manurewa
18 Nov
Petone
1 : 2
Manurewa
12 Nov
Manurewa
0 : 0
Auckland United
Page 1 of 3

Cashmere Technical

(Away)
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2
Fencibles United AFC
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Dunedin City Royals
0 : 9
Cashmere Technical
24 Feb
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Ferrymead Bays
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wellington Olympic 9 7 2 0 34:15 23
2 Auckland City 9 7 0 2 19:12 21
3 Christchurch 9 5 1 3 18:16 16
4 Eastern Suburbs 9 4 3 2 23:11 15
5 Manurewa 9 4 1 4 16:20 13
6 Cashmere Technical 9 4 1 4 24:24 13
7 Auckland United 9 2 4 3 15:17 10
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 9 3 0 6 19:24 9
9 Napier City 9 2 1 6 13:26 7
10 Petone 9 0 1 8 6:22 1
Promotion - National League 2023 (Grand Final)