Sport Picks
MapelloBonate vs Aurora Seriate
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between MapelloBonate and Aurora Seriate finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora Seriate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Aurora Seriate carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 20%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MapelloBonate | Aurora Seriate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs MapelloBonate
3:0
Sep 21, 2014 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Aurora Seriate
1:1
Mar 2, 2014 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Aurora Seriate
1:2
Oct 20, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs MapelloBonate
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MapelloBonate 32 / 100
Aurora Seriate 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MapelloBonate Aurora Seriate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurora Seriate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
MapelloBonate's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
MapelloBonate went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
MapelloBonate VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
MapelloBonate
(Home) 08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2 Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2 MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 7
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Varesina
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2 Monza
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
20 Mar
MapelloBonate
1 : 1 Piacenza
02 Mar
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Aurora Seriate
(Away) 10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3 Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2 Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3 Aurora Seriate
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2 Aurora Seriate
02 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 2 Aurora Seriate
21 Mar
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Aurora Seriate
08 Mar
Caravaggio
0 : 1 Aurora Seriate
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Castiglione | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 74 |
| 2 | Lecco | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:42 | 66 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:37 | 65 |
| 4 | Ciserano | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 53:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:34 | 59 |
| 6 | Pergolettese | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 46:44 | 55 |
| 7 | Olginatese | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 44:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50:42 | 52 |
| 9 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 37:40 | 51 |
| 10 | Sondrio | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | Aurora Seriate | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 12 | Inveruno | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Villafranca | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:49 | 47 |
| 14 | MapelloBonate | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 36:48 | 47 |
| 15 | Pro Sesto | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 37:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 18 | Castellana | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 36:61 | 30 |
| 19 | Montichiari | 36 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26:97 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)
