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MapelloBonate vs Montichiari

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between MapelloBonate and Montichiari finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MapelloBonate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
MapelloBonate
20%
Draws
16%
Montichiari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MapelloBonate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Montichiari haven't matched MapelloBonate's recent run of results.
  • Model gives MapelloBonate a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 20%
Montichiari Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MapelloBonate Montichiari
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 8 2
Losses 19 27
Goals Scored 1.03 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2015 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Montichiari
4:1
Dec 21, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Montichiari vs MapelloBonate
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MapelloBonate 85 / 100
Montichiari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MapelloBonate Montichiari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MapelloBonate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montichiari has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Montichiari has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

MapelloBonate scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

MapelloBonate VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MapelloBonate

(Home)
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0
Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2
Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2
MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
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Montichiari

(Away)
10 May
Montichiari
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
03 May
MapelloBonate
4 : 1
Montichiari
26 Apr
Montichiari
0 : 1
Ciserano
19 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Montichiari
12 Apr
Montichiari
1 : 2
Villafranca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)