Sport Picks
MapelloBonate vs Ponte San Pietro Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
MapelloBonate in this Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored MapelloBonate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MapelloBonate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: MapelloBonate at 0.93 per game, Ponte San Pietro at 0.71.
- MapelloBonate are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 20%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MapelloBonate | Ponte San Pietro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 23, 2016 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Ponte San Pietro
2:1
Sep 20, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs MapelloBonate
1:1
Feb 8, 2015 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Ponte San Pietro
0:3
Sep 28, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs MapelloBonate
2:1
Jan 19, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs MapelloBonate
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MapelloBonate 42 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MapelloBonate Ponte San Pietro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ponte San Pietro conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Ponte San Pietro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
MapelloBonate found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Ponte San Pietro
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
MapelloBonate
(Home) 08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2 Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2 MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 6
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Varesina
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2 Monza
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
20 Mar
MapelloBonate
1 : 1 Piacenza
02 Mar
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Ponte San Pietro
(Away) 05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 7
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
24 Mar
Piacenza
4 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
17 Mar
Legnano
1 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piacenza | 38 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 85:27 | 96 |
| 2 | Lecco | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 83:41 | 80 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 63:47 | 64 |
| 4 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 48:49 | 61 |
| 5 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 63:48 | 61 |
| 6 | Olginatese | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57:50 | 56 |
| 7 | Inveruno | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 65:57 | 53 |
| 8 | Ciserano | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 48:55 | 53 |
| 9 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 52:48 | 50 |
| 10 | Monza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 52:49 | 49 |
| 11 | Grumellese | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 49:53 | 48 |
| 12 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 50:51 | 47 |
| 13 | Varesina | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Pergolettese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 38:42 | 46 |
| 15 | Bustese Milano City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 47:58 | 45 |
| 16 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 45 |
| 17 | Caravaggio | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 35:56 | 34 |
| 18 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 28:51 | 33 |
| 19 | MapelloBonate | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:59 | 31 |
| 20 | Sondrio | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 39:73 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
