Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maqtaaral vs Gefest Karagandy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First Division 2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Maqtaaral
15%
Draws
0%
Gefest Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maqtaaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maqtaaral lately — more wins on the board than Gefest Karagandy.
  • Win probability leans Maqtaaral's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Maqtaaral Clean Sheet 20%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maqtaaral Gefest Karagandy
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.16 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2014 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Maqtaaral
0:3
Apr 19, 2014 First League
Maqtaaral vs Gefest Karagandy
0:2
Sep 21, 2013 First League
Maqtaaral vs Gefest Karagandy
0:0
May 9, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Maqtaaral
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maqtaaral 85 / 100
Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maqtaaral Gefest Karagandy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maqtaaral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefest Karagandy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Gefest Karagandy registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Maqtaaral found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Maqtaaral VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maqtaaral

(Home)
15 Mar
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
Maqtaaral
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
0 : 2
SD Family
16 Mar
Ulytau
1 : 0
Maqtaaral
29 Oct
Okzhetpes
1 : 1
Maqtaaral
21 Oct
Maqtaaral
2 : 1
Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 7

Gefest Karagandy

(Away)
08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaisar Kyzylorda 34 23 8 3 77:20 74
2 Spartak Semey 34 21 7 6 54:24 70
3 Okzhetpes 34 20 7 7 51:27 67
4 Kyzylzhar 34 20 5 9 52:35 65
5 Kaspij Aktau 34 19 8 7 55:31 65
6 Ile-Saulet 34 19 8 7 66:32 65
7 Zhenis 34 15 13 6 51:37 58
8 FK Kyran 34 16 7 11 53:39 55
9 Sunkar 34 16 9 9 48:33 48
10 Ak Bulak 34 14 6 14 49:39 48
11 Gefest Karagandy 34 12 8 14 37:46 44
12 FC Ekibastuz 34 9 13 12 34:36 40
13 Shakhtar Bulat 34 7 9 18 28:42 30
14 Taraz-Karatau 2 34 5 9 20 28:57 24
15 Bayterek Astana 34 8 5 21 32:67 23
16 Maqtaaral 34 5 7 22 29:62 22
17 CSKA Almaty 34 5 4 25 29:79 19
18 Shymkent 34 2 7 25 27:94 13
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)