Sport Picks
Mara Sugar vs Mombasa United
Kenya
Premier League 2026/2027 
AI Match Summary
Mara Sugar host Mombasa United in the Premier League 2026/2027. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Mara Sugar at 0.92 goals for, 0.96 against; Mombasa United at 1.35 for, 0.65 against. Head-to-head, Mara Sugar have won 3 to Mombasa United's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.26 vs 0.51, favoring Mombasa United. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Mombasa United lately — more wins on the board than Mara Sugar.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League 2026/2027 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mara Sugar | Mombasa United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.92 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.26 | 0.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mara Sugar found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Mombasa United conceded in 54% of 26 recent games.
Solid form: Mara Sugar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mara Sugar
(Home)Mombasa United
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Posta Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Police FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Migori | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Shabana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Muranga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Mombasa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | 3K FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
