Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Mara Sugar play Police FC in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mara Sugar averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Police FC averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.25 conceded. In past meetings, Mara Sugar won 1, Police FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.50 for Mara Sugar and 0.88 for Police FC. This points to a Police FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Police FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mara Sugar.
- Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Mara Sugar.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mara Sugar | Police FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mara Sugar Compare
Police FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mara Sugar scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Police FC let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Mara Sugar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Police FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |