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AI Match Summary
Maracaju host Aguia Negra in the Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Maracaju at 1.13 goals for, 0.75 against; Aguia Negra at 1 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Maracaju have won 0 to Aguia Negra's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 5, 2020, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.88) point toward Aguia Negra. Aguia Negra in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aguia Negra has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Maracaju.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maracaju | Aguia Negra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 33 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maracaju scored in 67% of their last 21 games.
Aguia Negra let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Maracaju went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Aguia Negra lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia Negra | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Aquidauanense | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Chapadao | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Operario MS | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Comercial MS | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 6 | Costa Rica | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Corumbaense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Maracaju | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Ponta Pora | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:17 | 4 |
| 10 | Nova Andradina | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:22 | 2 |