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Maracaju vs Nova Andradina

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maracaju in this Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maracaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Maracaju
15%
Draws
0%
Nova Andradina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maracaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maracaju lately — more wins on the board than Nova Andradina.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Maracaju taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Maracaju Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Andradina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maracaju Nova Andradina
Matches Played 21 9
Wins 6 0
Draws 8 2
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.14 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Maracaju vs Nova Andradina
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maracaju 85 / 100
Nova Andradina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maracaju Nova Andradina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maracaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Andradina let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Difficult form: Nova Andradina registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Maracaju's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Maracaju has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maracaju VS Nova Andradina
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maracaju

(Home)
01 Nov
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
6 : 0
Maracaju
26 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 1
Comercial MS
18 Oct
Bataguassu
3 : 1
Maracaju
11 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
05 Oct
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 1
Maracaju
Page 1 of 5

Nova Andradina

(Away)
15 Mar
Comercial MS
3 : 0
Nova Andradina
07 Mar
Nova Andradina
2 : 6
Aquidauanense
04 Mar
Chapadao
4 : 1
Nova Andradina
29 Feb
Nova Andradina
0 : 2
Aguia Negra
22 Feb
Maracaju
1 : 0
Nova Andradina
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
2 Aquidauanense 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
3 Chapadao 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
4 Operario MS 9 5 2 2 14:9 17
5 Comercial MS 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Costa Rica 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Corumbaense 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
8 Maracaju 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
9 Ponta Pora 9 1 1 7 6:17 4
10 Nova Andradina 9 0 2 7 5:22 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 (Play Offs)