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Marafon vs Zaqatala PFK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Allahverdiyev I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Marafon
25%
Draws
35%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Marafon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Zaqatala PFK have won more games recently than Marafon.
  • Marafon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Zaqatala PFK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marafon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Marafon Clean Sheet 20%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marafon Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 1 32
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 6
Losses 0 18
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 0 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Marafon vs Zaqatala PFK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marafon Compare

Top Goalscorer Allahverdiyev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marafon 85 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marafon Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marafon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marafon found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (1 games).

Difficult form: Zaqatala PFK registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Zaqatala PFK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Marafon VS Zaqatala PFK
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marafon

(Home)
27 Oct
Marafon
1 : 0
Zaqatala PFK

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
27 Oct
Marafon
1 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
22 Oct
Gancabasar
7 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
15 Oct
Zaqatala PFK
1 : 3
Sabail
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shimal 0
Araz PFK 6
Marafon 1
Zaqatala PFK 0
Sabah FC -
TBD -
Imisli FK 4
Lokbatan 1
Kur-Araz 0
SumQayit FK 11
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Gabala 3
Mingachevir 0
MOIK Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 9
FC Khankendi 2
Gancabasar 3
Hypers Guba 1
Shamakhi 5
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Safa Baku 9
Agstafa Gencleri 2
Zangazur (Am) 1
Karvan 4
Sabail 2
Zira FK 3
Turan -
TBD -
Kapaz 3
Baku Sporting 1
1/8-finals
Araz PFK -
Marafon -
Sabah FC -
Imisli FK -
SumQayit FK -
Qarabag Agdam -
Gabala -
Sahdag Qusar -
Gancabasar -
Shamakhi -
Neftci Baku -
Safa Baku -
Karvan -
Zira FK -
Turan -
Kapaz -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -