Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Ronny Taperacu
57'
57'
Fidelis
82'
82'
Jackinha
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Caete in this Paraense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caete.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caete
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Caete lately — more wins on the board than Marajo.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Caete taking it.
- Regular Paraense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Caete here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Marajo Clean Sheet 14%
Caete Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marajo | Caete |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2024 Paraense
Marajo vs Caete
1:2
Feb 11, 2023 Paraense
Caete vs Marajo
3:2
Jan 29, 2022 Paraense
Caete vs Marajo
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marajo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Caete Compare
Top Goalscorer Ronny Taperacu
1 Goals Assists Leader Fidelis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marajo 10 / 100
Caete 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marajo Caete
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caete Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Caete conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Caete lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Marajo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Marajo VS Caete
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Marajo
(Home) 24 May
Marajo
1 : 2 Urumajo
13 May
Paragominas
1 : 1 Marajo
09 May
Urumajo
3 : 0 Marajo
25 Apr
Marajo
0 : 5 Paragominas
12 Jul
Canaa
3 : 0 Marajo
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Marajo
1 : 2 Urumajo
25 Apr
Marajo
0 : 5 Paragominas
05 Jul
Marajo
0 : 2 Canaa
23 Jun
Marajo
1 : 1 Izabelense
15 Jun
Marajo
3 : 1 Sao Raimundo PA
Page 1 of 3
Caete
(Away) 03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2 Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0 Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1 Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0 Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0 Santos PA
Page 1 of 7
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0 Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1 Caete
25 Apr
Canaa
2 : 2 Caete
02 Mar
Tuna Luso
2 : 1 Caete
15 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0 Caete
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 20 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Remo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 5 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | 12 |
| 6 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 10 | Castanhal | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 11 | Marajo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 12 | Canaa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Paraense 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | 12 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Canaa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Paraense 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Caete | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 3 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 11 |
| 4 | Cameta | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
Promotion - Paraense 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 20 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Marajo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | 5 |
Promotion - Paraense 2024 (Play Offs)
