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Marajo vs Canaa

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Canaa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Marajo
35%
Draws
54%
Canaa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Canaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Marajo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Canaa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Marajo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Canaa, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Canaa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Marajo Clean Sheet 10%
Canaa Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marajo Canaa
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Paraense A2
Canaa vs Marajo
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 Paraense A2
Marajo vs Canaa
0:2
Feb 4, 2024 Paraense
Canaa vs Marajo
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marajo 10 / 100
Canaa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marajo Canaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canaa has conceded goals in 65% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Marajo scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Marajo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marajo VS Canaa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marajo

(Home)
24 May
Marajo
1 : 2
Urumajo
13 May
Paragominas
1 : 1
Marajo
09 May
Urumajo
3 : 0
Marajo
25 Apr
Marajo
0 : 5
Paragominas
12 Jul
Canaa
3 : 0
Marajo
Page 1 of 6

Canaa

(Away)
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
25 Apr
Canaa
2 : 2
Caete
26 Jul
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0
Canaa
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Marajo 0
Canaa 5
Itupiranga 2
Sao Raimundo PA 4
Paragominas 1
Amazonia IFC 1
Uniao Paraense 0
Urumajo 1
Semi-finals
Canaa 1
Sao Raimundo PA 2
Amazonia IFC 5
Urumajo 3
Final
Sao Raimundo PA 2
Amazonia IFC 1