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Marajo vs Paragominas Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 game between Marajo and Paragominas finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paragominas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Marajo
20%
Draws
70%
Paragominas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paragominas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Marajo haven't matched Paragominas's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Paragominas taking it.
  • Regular Paraense A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Marajo Clean Sheet 10%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marajo Paragominas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.87 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Marajo
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Paraense A2
Marajo vs Paragominas
0:5
Mar 6, 2022 Paraense
Paragominas vs Marajo
1:1
Apr 21, 2021 Paraense
Marajo vs Paragominas
0:0
Mar 14, 2021 Paraense
Paragominas vs Marajo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marajo 10 / 100
Paragominas 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marajo Paragominas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paragominas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paragominas has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Marajo found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Marajo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marajo VS Paragominas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marajo

(Home)
24 May
Marajo
1 : 2
Urumajo
13 May
Paragominas
1 : 1
Marajo
09 May
Urumajo
3 : 0
Marajo
25 Apr
Marajo
0 : 5
Paragominas
12 Jul
Canaa
3 : 0
Marajo
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Paragominas

(Away)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)