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Maranguape vs Itapipoca

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Savio

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 2025 game between Maranguape and Itapipoca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maranguape.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Maranguape
30%
Draws
37%
Itapipoca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Itapipoca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Maranguape taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 17%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranguape Itapipoca
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Maranguape
0:3
Mar 30, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Itapipoca
1:2
Mar 6, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Maranguape
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Itapipoca
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Itapipoca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranguape Compare

Top Goalscorer Savio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Itapipoca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranguape 41 / 100
Itapipoca 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranguape Itapipoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maranguape found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Itapipoca let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Maranguape stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maranguape VS Itapipoca
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranguape

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
03 Feb
Maranguape
3 : 2
Tirol
28 Jan
Maranguape
1 : 1
Maracana
17 Jan
Maranguape
0 : 3
Floresta EC
15 Jan
Ceara
1 : 0
Maranguape
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Itapipoca

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)