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Maranguape vs Quixada

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Sat, Apr 12, 2025
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Da Silva Rocha C.
90' Event
Eudes
1' Event
Gustavo Queiroz
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Maranguape in this Cearense 2 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Maranguape
15%
Draws
26%
Quixada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maranguape

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Quixada have won more games recently than Maranguape.
  • Maranguape are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Quixada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Quixada, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 68%
Quixada Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranguape Quixada
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Cearense
Quixada vs Maranguape
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Quixada
2:1
Mar 4, 2015 Cearense
Maranguape vs Quixada
1:2
Mar 1, 2015 Cearense
Quixada vs Maranguape
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranguape Compare

Top Goalscorer Eudes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Quixada Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva Rocha C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranguape 86 / 100
Quixada 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranguape Quixada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranguape Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Maranguape's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Maranguape remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Quixada's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maranguape VS Quixada
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranguape

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
03 Feb
Maranguape
3 : 2
Tirol
28 Jan
Maranguape
1 : 1
Maracana
17 Jan
Maranguape
0 : 3
Floresta EC
15 Jan
Ceara
1 : 0
Maranguape
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Quixada

(Away)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Itapipoca -
TBD -
Maranguape 1
Guarani de Juazeiro 0
Quixada -
TBD -
Crato 1
Caucaia 0
Semi-finals
Itapipoca 2
Maranguape 4
Quixada 3
Crato 3
Final
Maranguape 2
Quixada 1