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Maranguape vs Tirol

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Estadio Moraisao, Maranguape
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Da Silva Rocha C.
Assist: Rian
15'
Maldine M.
18'
Ze Augusto

AI Match Summary

The Cearense game between Maranguape and Tirol finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maranguape.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Maranguape
30%
Draws
37%
Tirol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Maranguape carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Maranguape have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 68%
Tirol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranguape Tirol
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Cearense
Maranguape vs Tirol
3:2
Jan 11, 2026 Cearense
Maranguape vs Tirol
1:0
Mar 27, 2024 Cearense 2
Tirol vs Maranguape
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranguape Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Hulk
2 Goals
Assists Leader Da Silva Rocha C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieguinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranguape 42 / 100
Tirol 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranguape Tirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Maranguape's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tirol has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Maranguape went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maranguape VS Tirol
1.4 Goals Scored 1.25
1.6 Goals Conceded 2.13
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranguape

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
03 Feb
Maranguape
3 : 2
Tirol
28 Jan
Maranguape
1 : 1
Maracana
17 Jan
Maranguape
0 : 3
Floresta EC
15 Jan
Ceara
1 : 0
Maranguape
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Tirol

(Away)
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Tirol
0 : 0
Ferroviario
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
16 May
Tirol
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
09 May
Tirol
1 : 0
AE Altos
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