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Maranhao vs Botafogo PB Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís
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Match Events

10' Event
Andre Radija
32' Event
Bastos R.
35'
Thallyson

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Maranhao and Botafogo PB finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maranhao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Maranhao
20%
Draws
23%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo PB come out ahead of Maranhao on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Maranhao taking it.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranhao Botafogo PB
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Serie C
Maranhao vs Botafogo PB
3:1
Jan 4, 2025 Copa do Nordeste
Botafogo PB vs Maranhao
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Radija
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vagalume
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranhao 95 / 100
Botafogo PB 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranhao Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranhao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Maranhao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Botafogo PB has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maranhao VS Botafogo PB
1.43 Goals Scored 1.88
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranhao

(Home)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
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Botafogo PB

(Away)
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)