Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maranhao vs Ceara

Brazil Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Railson
28' Event
Vinicius Zanocelo
30'
Vinicius Zanocelo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Maranhao
15%
Draws
32%
Ceara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Ceara have won more games recently than Maranhao.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Maranhao taking it.
  • Ceara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%
Ceara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranhao Ceara
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Maranhao vs Ceara
1:3
Mar 12, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Maranhao vs Ceara
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranhao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Ceara Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Zanocelo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranhao 86 / 100
Ceara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranhao Ceara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranhao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Maranhao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ceara's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maranhao VS Ceara
1.67 Goals Scored 1
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranhao

(Home)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
Page 1 of 6

Ceara

(Away)
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1
Ceara
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Sport Recife
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Ceara
22 Aug
Ceara
2 : 1
Londrina
19 Aug
Nautico
1 : 0
Ceara
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
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Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
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Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
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Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
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Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
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Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
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Volta Redonda -
America RN -
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Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG -
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America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
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Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
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Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
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Operario MS -
Confianca -
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Tombense -
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Oratorio -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
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Maringa FC -
Retro -
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Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
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Goias -
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Fluminense-PI -
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville -
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CSA -
Sao Bernardo -
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Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
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Maranhao -
Ceara -
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Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso -
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Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
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Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
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ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
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Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
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AE Altos -
Avai -
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Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ -
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Maracana -
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Vasco -
Capital FC -
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Manaus FC -
Londrina -
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SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
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Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
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Capital -
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Operario VG -
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Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
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Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul -
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Guarany de Bage -
Flamengo RJ -
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Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
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Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
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Jacuipense -
Mixto -
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Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
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Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
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Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
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Lagarto -
Manauara -
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Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
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Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
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Sousa -
CRB -
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Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
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Amazonas -
Figueirense -
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Azuriz -
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Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
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TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG 2
Tirol 1
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
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Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
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Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
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Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
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TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
TBD -
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TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
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Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
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TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
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Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
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Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
TBD -
Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional 1
Gremio 3
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 3
Vasco 3
Vitoria 0
Palmeiras 3
Santos 0
Semi-finals
Gremio -
Atletico-MG -
Vasco -
Palmeiras -
Final
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