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Maranhao vs Central SC

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2025 Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís
Maranhao Logo

Maranhao

2 - 1
FT
Central SC Logo

Central SC

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Clessione
45' Event
Igor
89' Event
Jo Santos
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maranhao in this Serie D 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Maranhao
30%
Draws
23%
Central SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Central SC lately — more wins on the board than Maranhao.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Maranhao taking it.
  • Central SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maranhao, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%
Central SC Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranhao Central SC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.91 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.62 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Serie D
Central SC vs Maranhao
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Serie D
Maranhao vs Central SC
2:1
Jun 2, 2019 Serie D
Maranhao vs Central SC
4:3
May 12, 2019 Serie D
Central SC vs Maranhao
3:0
Oct 14, 1979 Serie A Betano
Central SC vs Maranhao
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Clessione
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.31

Central SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranhao 95 / 100
Central SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranhao Central SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranhao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Maranhao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Maranhao's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Central SC let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maranhao VS Central SC
0.38 Goals Scored 0.43
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
25% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranhao

(Home)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
Page 1 of 7

Central SC

(Away)
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Central SC
21 Jun
Central SC
1 : 1
Ferroviario
14 Jun
Central SC
2 : 1
Laguna RN
29 May
America RN
1 : 0
Central SC
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lagarto 2
Central SC 3
Tuna Luso 3
Maranhao 4
ASA 3
Ferroviario 0
Manauara 2
Sampaio Correa 1
AE Altos 8
Independencia Futebol Clube 2
Santa Cruz 4
Sergipe 3
America RN 3
Juazeirense 1
Imperatriz 3
Manaus FC 2
Portuguesa 1
Mixto 2
Cianorte 5
Joinville 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4
FC Cascavel 0
Ceilandia 2
Agua Santa 1
Aparecidense 4
Marica 3
EC Sao Jose (PA) 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Internacional de Limeira 2
Marcilio Dias 1
Rio Branco ES 3
Luverdense 0
1/8-finals
Central SC 1
Maranhao 2
ASA 1
Manauara 0
AE Altos 1
Santa Cruz 2
America RN 1
Imperatriz 0
Mixto 1
Cianorte 3
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 2
Ceilandia 1
Aparecidense 3
Goiatuba EC 4
Internacional de Limeira 1
Rio Branco ES 0
Quarter-finals
Maranhao 4
ASA 0
Santa Cruz 2
America RN 1
Cianorte 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
Goiatuba EC 0
Internacional de Limeira 1
Semi-finals
Maranhao 0
Santa Cruz 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 5
Internacional de Limeira 2
Final
Santa Cruz 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 2