Sport Picks
Maranhao vs Ferroviario
Brazil
Copa do Nordeste Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Maranhao haven't matched Ferroviario's recent run of results.
- Maranhao are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Ferroviario arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ferroviario, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ferroviario here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maranhao | Ferroviario |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 36 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.91 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maranhao Compare
Ferroviario Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Ferroviario's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 36 matches.
Solid form: Maranhao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Maranhao scored in 50% of their last 32 games.
