Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maranhao vs Moto Club

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Joelson
60' Event
Jean
90'
Washington

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Maranhense matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Maranhao
11%
Draws
9%
Moto Club
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moto Club lately — more wins on the board than Maranhao.
  • Model gives Maranhao a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%
Moto Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranhao Moto Club
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.71
Goals Conceded 1 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Moto Club
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Moto Club
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Maranhao
1:1
Jul 7, 2024 Serie D
Maranhao vs Moto Club
5:1
May 12, 2024 Serie D
Moto Club vs Maranhao
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Joelson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Moto Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranhao 86 / 100
Moto Club 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranhao Moto Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Maranhao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Moto Club lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Maranhao scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Maranhao VS Moto Club
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
1 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranhao

(Home)
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
04 Jul
Maranhao
0 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Jun
Maringa FC
0 : 0
Maranhao
Page 1 of 7

Moto Club

(Away)
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Moto Club
1 : 2
Maracana
24 May
Sampaio Correa
4 : 0
Moto Club
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
10 May
Iguatu
3 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moto Club734010:413
2Maranhao74129:713
3Sampaio Correa725013:511
4IAPE73224:311
5Luminense73136:610
6Tuntum72328:99
7Imperatriz71332:56
8ITZ Sport70161:141
Promotion - Maranhense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense (Relegation)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 2027 (Main)