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Maranhao vs Moto Club

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Joelson
60' Event
Jean
90'
Washington

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Maranhense matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Maranhao
20%
Draws
7%
Moto Club
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maranhao lately — more wins on the board than Moto Club.
  • Model gives Maranhao a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%
Moto Club Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranhao Moto Club
Matches Played 41 32
Wins 16 11
Draws 10 13
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.02 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.02 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Moto Club
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Moto Club
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Maranhao
1:1
Jul 7, 2024 Serie D
Maranhao vs Moto Club
5:1
May 12, 2024 Serie D
Moto Club vs Maranhao
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Joelson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Moto Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranhao 95 / 100
Moto Club 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranhao Moto Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranhao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Maranhao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Moto Club lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Maranhao scored in 59% of their last 41 games.

Scoring Trends

Maranhao VS Moto Club
0.5 Goals Scored 0.83
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranhao

(Home)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
Page 1 of 9

Moto Club

(Away)
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Moto Club
1 : 2
Maracana
24 May
Sampaio Correa
4 : 0
Moto Club
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
10 May
Iguatu
3 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 7 3 4 0 10:4 13
2 Maranhao 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
3 Sampaio Correa 7 2 5 0 13:5 11
4 IAPE 7 3 2 2 4:3 11
5 Luminense 7 3 1 3 6:6 10
6 Tuntum 7 2 3 2 8:9 9
7 Imperatriz 7 1 3 3 2:5 6
8 ITZ Sport 7 0 1 6 1:14 1
Promotion - Maranhense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense (Relegation)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 2027 (Main)