Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marathon vs Platense

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula
Marathon Logo

Marathon

2 - 2
FT
Platense Logo

Platense

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Solano E.
45' Event
Ramos O.
54' Event
Castillo R.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Marathon and Platense finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Marathon
30%
Draws
19%
Platense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marathon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Marathon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Marathon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Marathon Clean Sheet 68%
Platense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marathon Platense
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Marathon
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Marathon
3:1
Feb 13, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs Platense
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Marathon
2:2
Dec 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs Platense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marathon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Platense Compare

Top Goalscorer Solano E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marathon 95 / 100
Platense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marathon Platense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marathon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Platense has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Marathon went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Marathon found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Marathon VS Platense
0.63 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.83
50% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Marathon

(Home)
16 Aug
CD Choloma
0 : 1
Marathon
14 Aug
Antigua
0 : 3
Marathon
08 Aug
Platense
1 : 1
Marathon
04 Aug
Marathon
1 : 0
Atletico Independiente
31 Jul
Herediano
0 : 0
Marathon
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Platense

(Away)
15 Aug
Genesis FC
3 : 0
Platense
08 Aug
Platense
1 : 1
Marathon
01 Aug
Platense
0 : 3
Real Espana
01 May
Olimpia
4 : 0
Platense
26 Apr
Platense
1 : 0
Olancho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)