Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Marbella host AD Ceuta in the Club Friendly 2025. This one's hard to separate. AD Ceuta have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Marbella have conceded 1.62 and scored 1. Past meetings favor AD Ceuta slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.78, favoring AD Ceuta. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to AD Ceuta lately — more wins on the board than Marbella.
- Win probability leans AD Ceuta's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marbella | AD Ceuta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Ceuta let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Marbella's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Marbella stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.