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Marbella vs AD Ceuta

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Fri, Aug 8, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marbella host AD Ceuta in the Club Friendly 2025. This one's hard to separate. AD Ceuta have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Marbella have conceded 1.62 and scored 1. Past meetings favor AD Ceuta slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.78, favoring AD Ceuta. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Marbella
15%
Draws
64%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Ceuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Ceuta lately — more wins on the board than Marbella.
  • Win probability leans AD Ceuta's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Marbella Clean Sheet 11%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbella AD Ceuta
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Marbella vs AD Ceuta
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
AD Ceuta vs Marbella
3:1
Sep 8, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Marbella vs AD Ceuta
0:1
Nov 28, 2018 Copa Federacion
AD Ceuta vs Marbella
1:1
Nov 21, 2018 Copa Federacion
Marbella vs AD Ceuta
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbella 22 / 100
AD Ceuta 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbella AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Marbella's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Marbella stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marbella VS AD Ceuta
1.71 Goals Scored 1.13
2.43 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbella

(Home)
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
10 May
Marbella
0 : 1
Torremolinos
03 May
Eldense
3 : 1
Marbella
26 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1
Sabadell
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AD Ceuta

(Away)
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1
Malaga
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3
AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1
AD Ceuta
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
30 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 0
Albacete
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