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Marbella vs CD Estepona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marbella host CD Estepona in the Segunda RFEF - Group 4. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Marbella have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against CD Estepona's 1.46 scored and 1.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Marbella slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 4, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.06, favoring CD Estepona. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Marbella
30%
Draws
41%
CD Estepona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Estepona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Estepona lately — more wins on the board than Marbella.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Marbella Clean Sheet 10%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbella CD Estepona
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 9
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.19 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Marbella vs CD Estepona
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Marbella
0:1
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs CD Estepona
0:0
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Estepona vs Marbella
0:0
May 2, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Marbella
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbella 30 / 100
CD Estepona 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbella CD Estepona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Estepona let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Marbella has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Marbella scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Marbella VS CD Estepona
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbella

(Home)
04 Oct
Marbella
0 : 2
Betis B
27 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 0
Marbella
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1
Atletico Central
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
Page 1 of 6

CD Estepona

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Don Benito
27 Sept
Tenerife B
2 : 1
CD Estepona
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 5 4 1 0 8:0 13
2 Recreativo Huelva 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Don Benito 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
4 Tenerife B 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
5 Ciudad de Lucena 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
6 Sevilla B 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
7 CD Badajoz 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 CD Estepona 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Linares 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 Mijas Las Lagunas 5 1 3 1 10:10 6
11 Sanluqueno 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Atletico Central 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
13 Xerez CD 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Marbella 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Puente Genil 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
16 Las Palmas B 5 1 1 3 1:8 4
17 Tamaraceite 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Antoniano 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)