Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 game between Marbella and Comarca finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comarca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Marbella come out ahead of Comarca on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Marbella taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Marbella Clean Sheet 16%
Comarca Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marbella | Comarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs Comarca
4:0
Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Marbella
1:1
Mar 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs Comarca
0:0
Nov 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Marbella
4:0
Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs Comarca
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marbella 66 / 100
Comarca 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marbella Comarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marbella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Comarca conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Comarca registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Marbella's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Marbella VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Marbella
(Home) 22 May
Marbella
3 : 1 Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2 Marbella
10 May
Marbella
0 : 1 Torremolinos
03 May
Eldense
3 : 1 Marbella
26 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1 Sabadell
Page 1 of 7
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1 Teruel
10 May
Marbella
0 : 1 Torremolinos
26 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1 Sabadell
19 Apr
Marbella
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
04 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1 Villarreal B
Page 1 of 3
Comarca
(Away) 17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1 Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3 Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1 Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1 Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 Comarca
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1 Comarca
14 Apr
Atarfe Industrial
3 : 0 Comarca
30 Mar
Marbella
4 : 0 Comarca
16 Mar
Melilla B
0 : 1 Comarca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loja | 40 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 87:33 | 86 |
| 2 | Union Estepona CF | 40 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 76:37 | 85 |
| 3 | Marbella | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 66:28 | 78 |
| 4 | Maracena | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 66:42 | 78 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 40 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 79:37 | 76 |
| 6 | Comarca | 40 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 57:34 | 70 |
| 7 | Mancha | 40 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 53:34 | 70 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 68:47 | 67 |
| 9 | El Palo | 40 | 19 | 8 | 13 | 63:57 | 65 |
| 10 | Martos | 40 | 18 | 5 | 17 | 49:45 | 59 |
| 11 | Melilla B | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 44:51 | 54 |
| 12 | CD Ronda | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 49:60 | 51 |
| 13 | Alhaurin | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 59:63 | 50 |
| 14 | Huetor Tajar | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 50:56 | 50 |
| 15 | Motril | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 51:47 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Nerja | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 41:57 | 46 |
| 17 | Velez | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 38:60 | 42 |
| 18 | Arenas Armilla | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 35:51 | 37 |
| 19 | Antequera | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 47:70 | 37 |
| 20 | Ciudad de Vicar | 40 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 22:78 | 18 |
| 21 | UD Carboneras | 40 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 6:119 | 4 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
