Sport Picks
Marbella vs Gimnastic de Tarragona Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Banus Football Center, Marbella 
Match Events
22'
22'
Sanchez V.
46'
46'
Sub
Abdallah K. In: Fuentes J.
Out: Abdallah K.
46'
46'
Sub
Gelardo A. In: Montalvo M.
Out: Gelardo A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Marbella and Gimnastic de Tarragona finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marbella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnastic de Tarragona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Gimnastic de Tarragona have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Marbella are scoring more at 1.17.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Marbella Clean Sheet 21%
Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marbella | Gimnastic de Tarragona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Marbella vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Marbella
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marbella Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cambra J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marbella 32 / 100
Gimnastic de Tarragona 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marbella Gimnastic de Tarragona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimnastic de Tarragona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gimnastic de Tarragona has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Marbella has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Marbella scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Marbella VS Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Marbella
(Home) 27 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 0 Marbella
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1 Atletico Central
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0 Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2 Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0 Marbella
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1 Atletico Central
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2 Sanluqueno
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1 Teruel
10 May
Marbella
0 : 1 Torremolinos
26 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1 Sabadell
Page 1 of 3
Gimnastic de Tarragona
(Away) 26 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 2 Sant Andreu
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2 Algeciras
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
2 : 0 Zaragoza
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
22 Aug
Espanyol B
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
19 Aug
Villarreal B
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
01 Aug
Olot
1 : 1 Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldense | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 57:39 | 69 |
| 2 | Sabadell | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 53:27 | 68 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid B | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Villarreal B | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 5 | CE Europa | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 55:50 | 60 |
| 6 | FC Cartagena SAD | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 37:38 | 57 |
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | 56 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40:41 | 55 |
| 9 | Hercules | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:41 | 54 |
| 10 | Murcia | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44:38 | 51 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 13 | Teruel | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 27:33 | 49 |
| 14 | Gimnastic de Tarragona | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 40:49 | 47 |
| 15 | Torremolinos | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 45:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Betis B | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 48:59 | 45 |
| 17 | Tarazona | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 31:40 | 45 |
| 18 | Marbella | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 36:55 | 34 |
| 19 | Sanluqueno | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 27:53 | 31 |
| 20 | Sevilla B | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 21:44 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
