Sport Picks

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Marbella vs Intergym Melilla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022 Estadio Municipal de Marbella, Marbella
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marbella in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marbella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Marbella
15%
Draws
0%
Intergym Melilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marbella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marbella lately — more wins on the board than Intergym Melilla.
  • Win probability leans Marbella's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Marbella Clean Sheet 20%
Intergym Melilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbella Intergym Melilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 0
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 1.23 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.77 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Intergym Melilla vs Marbella
1:4
Dec 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs Intergym Melilla
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbella 85 / 100
Intergym Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbella Intergym Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marbella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Intergym Melilla has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Intergym Melilla registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Marbella's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Marbella VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbella

(Home)
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
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Intergym Melilla

(Away)
16 Apr
Intergym Melilla
1 : 4
Marbella
10 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0
Intergym Melilla
02 Apr
Intergym Melilla
0 : 2
Huetor Tajar
26 Mar
Torremolinos
4 : 0
Intergym Melilla
20 Mar
Intergym Melilla
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 32 17 12 3 45:21 63
2 Huetor Tajar 32 16 10 6 56:30 58
3 Marbella 32 18 4 10 53:26 58
4 Almeria B 32 16 9 7 59:31 57
5 Malaga B 32 17 6 9 51:38 57
6 Motril 32 17 5 10 59:37 56
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 32 14 13 5 55:35 55
8 Torre del Mar 32 14 7 11 52:40 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 32 11 9 12 42:47 42
10 El Palo 32 11 8 13 40:40 41
11 Huetor Vega 32 9 12 11 33:38 39
12 CD Torreperogil 32 10 8 14 28:36 38
13 Jaen 32 9 12 11 31:43 36
14 Alhaurin 32 9 7 16 28:49 34
15 UD San Pedro 32 7 7 18 26:48 28
16 CD Alhaurino 32 6 9 17 40:53 27
17 Intergym Melilla 32 0 4 28 13:99 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022 (Play Offs)