Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marbella vs Teruel

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Banus Football Center, Marbella
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gil A.
8' Event
Traore M.
16' Event
Alvarez J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Marbella and Teruel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marbella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Marbella
20%
Draws
50%
Teruel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Teruel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Teruel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Marbella's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Marbella Clean Sheet 17%
Teruel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbella Teruel
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Marbella vs Teruel
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Teruel vs Marbella
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marbella Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Teruel Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbella 36 / 100
Teruel 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbella Teruel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Marbella scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Teruel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Marbella stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marbella VS Teruel
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbella

(Home)
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
10 May
Marbella
0 : 1
Torremolinos
03 May
Eldense
3 : 1
Marbella
26 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1
Sabadell
Page 1 of 6

Teruel

(Away)
08 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0
Castellon B
04 Aug
Teruel
2 : 1
Levante B
30 Jul
Petro Atletico
2 : 0
Teruel
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Teruel
0 : 0
Sanluqueno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)