Sport Picks
Marbelli vs Churriana de la Vega
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Marbelli host Churriana de la Vega in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Marbelli at 0.63 goals for, 0.75 against; Churriana de la Vega at 1 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor Churriana de la Vega slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.88, favoring Churriana de la Vega. Churriana de la Vega in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marbelli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Churriana de la Vega.
- Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Marbelli.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 9 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marbelli | Churriana de la Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marbelli Compare
Churriana de la Vega Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marbelli scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Churriana de la Vega let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Marbelli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Churriana de la Vega lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |