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Marbelli vs Granada CF B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Moreno C.
46' Event
Rodriguez M.

AI Match Summary

Granada CF B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Granada CF B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Marbelli
30%
Draws
27%
Granada CF B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marbelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Marbelli have won more games recently than Granada CF B.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 68%
Granada CF B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbelli Granada CF B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Granada CF B
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Granada CF B vs Marbelli
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marbelli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Granada CF B Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbelli 41 / 100
Granada CF B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbelli Granada CF B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marbelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marbelli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Marbelli scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Granada CF B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Marbelli VS Granada CF B
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbelli

(Home)
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2
Marbelli
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Granada CF B

(Away)
27 Sept
Granada CF B
2 : 0
Cantoria
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1
Granada CF B
13 Sept
Granada CF B
4 : 0
UD San Pedro
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
10 May
Granada CF B
4 : 4
Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)