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Marbelli vs Torre del Mar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Caracuel T.
67' Event
Torres M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Marbelli and Torre del Mar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marbelli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Marbelli
20%
Draws
28%
Torre del Mar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marbelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Marbelli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Marbelli a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 68%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbelli Torre del Mar
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Torre del Mar
1:0
Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Marbelli
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Torre del Mar
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Marbelli
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Torre del Mar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marbelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Torre del Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbelli 59 / 100
Torre del Mar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbelli Torre del Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marbelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marbelli found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Marbelli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Torre del Mar has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Marbelli VS Torre del Mar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbelli

(Home)
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2
Marbelli
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Torre del Mar

(Away)
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Marbelli 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
3 Almeria B 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
4 UD San Pedro 4 3 0 1 5:5 9
5 Arenas Armilla 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
6 Motril 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
7 Malaga B 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
8 Granada CF B 4 2 1 1 7:2 7
9 Atletico de Porcuna 4 2 0 2 4:11 6
10 Torre del Mar 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
11 Atletico de Marbella 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
12 CD Alhaurino 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
13 Churriana de la Vega 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
14 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
15 Mancha 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 Cantoria 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
17 Huetor Vega 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
18 Malaga Juniors 4 0 0 4 3:10 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)