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Marchamalo vs CD Villa Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Salazar G.
45' Event
Redondo J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between Marchamalo and CD Villa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marchamalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Marchamalo
15%
Draws
36%
CD Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marchamalo come out ahead of CD Villa on wins alone.
  • Marchamalo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 68%
CD Villa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marchamalo CD Villa
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 13 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs CD Villa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marchamalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Redondo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

CD Villa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marchamalo 95 / 100
CD Villa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marchamalo CD Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marchamalo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Marchamalo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CD Villa has conceded goals in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marchamalo VS CD Villa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.8
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.8
50% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marchamalo

(Home)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6

CD Villa

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Villa
2 : 0
Socuellamos
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
12 Sept
CD Villa
1 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 Torrijos 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
3 Villarrobledo 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
4 Illescas 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
5 Toledo 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 UD Almansa 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
7 Marchamalo 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
8 Villacanas 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
9 Noblejas 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
10 CD Tarancon 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
11 CD Villa 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
12 Socuellamos 4 0 3 1 1:3 3
13 La Solana 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
14 Quintanar del Rey 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
15 Villarrubia 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
16 San Clemente 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
17 CD Guadalajara B 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
18 Huracan de Balazote 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)