Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marchamalo vs Socuellamos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marchamalo host Socuellamos in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Marchamalo have averaged 1.49 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Socuellamos's 1.1 scored and 1.42 conceded. Past meetings favor Socuellamos slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.94 - 0.56) back Marchamalo to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Marchamalo
35%
Draws
22%
Socuellamos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Marchamalo have won more games recently than Socuellamos.
  • Model gives Marchamalo a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Socuellamos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 20%
Socuellamos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marchamalo Socuellamos
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.49 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Socuellamos
0:3
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Socuellamos vs Marchamalo
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Socuellamos vs Marchamalo
3:0
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Socuellamos
0:0
Apr 3, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Socuellamos vs Marchamalo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marchamalo 49 / 100
Socuellamos 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marchamalo Socuellamos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marchamalo scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Socuellamos conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Marchamalo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marchamalo VS Socuellamos
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marchamalo

(Home)
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
Page 1 of 7

Socuellamos

(Away)
04 Oct
Socuellamos
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
27 Sept
CD Villa
2 : 0
Socuellamos
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)