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Marchamalo vs Villarrubia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Chinchurreta D.
90' Event
Sanchez A.

AI Match Summary

Villarrubia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarrubia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Marchamalo
17%
Draws
70%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villarrubia lately — more wins on the board than Marchamalo.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Villarrubia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 17%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marchamalo Villarrubia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Marchamalo
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Villarrubia
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Marchamalo
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Villarrubia
0:1
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Villarrubia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marchamalo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Chinchurreta D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marchamalo 15 / 100
Villarrubia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marchamalo Villarrubia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marchamalo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Villarrubia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Marchamalo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marchamalo VS Villarrubia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puertollano C.F.34228454:2174
2CD Tarancon34227562:2573
3Toledo341911455:1768
4Albacete B341713449:1764
5Manchego Ciudad Real34187952:2961
6Villarrubia341581142:3553
7Villacanas3412121029:2648
8San Clemente3412111136:4447
9CD Guadalajara B3411101330:3743
10Villarrobledo3410131130:3643
11Huracan de Balazote341251733:4541
12Illescas348131321:3237
13Marchamalo341071738:4737
14La Solana348111526:3835
15Azuqueca347131434:3934
16CD Pedroneras347121528:4333
17Sonseca34572228:6922
18Cazalegas34462417:6418