Sport Picks

Austria

Oberosterreich 2018/2019

Gmunden

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marchtrenk play Gmunden in the Oberosterreich 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Marchtrenk averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Gmunden averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Marchtrenk won 1, Gmunden won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 7, 2019 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Marchtrenk and 1.25 for Gmunden. This points to a Gmunden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Marchtrenk

32%

Draws

38%

Gmunden

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Gmunden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Marchtrenk picked up more points recently compared to Gmunden.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Marchtrenk Clean Sheet 19%

Gmunden Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marchtrenk	Gmunden
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	8
Draws	4	9
Losses	20	15
Goals Scored	1.03	1.47
Goals Conceded	2.37	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2019 Oberosterreich

Marchtrenk vs Gmunden

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 1 - 4

3:3

Nov 10, 2018 Oberosterreich

Gmunden vs Marchtrenk

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Apr 2, 2016 Oberosterreich

Marchtrenk vs Gmunden

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Aug 28, 2015 Oberosterreich

Gmunden vs Marchtrenk

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Jun 12, 2015 Oberosterreich

Gmunden vs Marchtrenk

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 3 - 0

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marchtrenk 31 / 100

Gmunden 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marchtrenk Gmunden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gmunden or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marchtrenk attacking → ← attacking Gmunden

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marchtrenk scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Gmunden let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Marchtrenk went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Gmunden lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 33

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38