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Mardin 1969 vs Gumushanespor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Tiryakioglu N.

AI Match Summary

Gumushanespor in this 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gumushanespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mardin 1969
30%
Draws
12%
Gumushanespor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Mardin 1969 have won more games recently than Gumushanespor.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Mardin 1969 taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 68%
Gumushanespor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 Gumushanespor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.41 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Gumushanespor vs Mardin 1969
2:3
Nov 12, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Mardin 1969 vs Gumushanespor
0:1
Apr 10, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Mardin 1969 vs Gumushanespor
1:1
Nov 21, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Gumushanespor vs Mardin 1969
1:1
Sep 30, 2021 Turkish Cup
Mardin 1969 vs Gumushanespor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Gumushanespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiryakioglu N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 95 / 100
Gumushanespor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 Gumushanespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mardin 1969 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gumushanespor let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Mardin 1969 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Gumushanespor has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mardin 1969

(Home)
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
29 Aug
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 7

Gumushanespor

(Away)
27 Apr
Gumushanespor
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
21 Apr
Kirikkale FK
3 : 1
Gumushanespor
14 Apr
Gumushanespor
1 : 1
Aliaga
03 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 3
Gumushanespor
24 Mar
Gumushanespor
2 : 3
Mardin 1969
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)