Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mardin 1969 vs K. Istklalspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Altintas M. M.
Assist: Acer M.
70' Event
Kilic H.
86' Event
Sengul M.
Assist: Aydin A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Mardin 1969 and K. Istklalspor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mardin 1969.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mardin 1969
30%
Draws
34%
K. Istklalspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mardin 1969 come out ahead of K. Istklalspor on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mardin 1969 taking it.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mardin 1969 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 20%
K. Istklalspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 K. Istklalspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 2. Lig Play Offs
Mardin 1969 vs K. Istklalspor
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 2. Lig Play Offs
K. Istklalspor vs Mardin 1969
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Mardin 1969 vs K. Istklalspor
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
K. Istklalspor vs Mardin 1969
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Mardin 1969 vs K. Istklalspor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Altintas M. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sengul M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

K. Istklalspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilic H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 36 / 100
K. Istklalspor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 K. Istklalspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Mardin 1969 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mardin 1969's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

K. Istklalspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS K. Istklalspor
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52