Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig Play Offs Diyarbakir Stadium

Musspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mardin 1969 play Musspor in the 2. Lig Play Offs. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mardin 1969 averaged 1.77 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Musspor averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Mardin 1969 won 1, Musspor won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Mardin 1969 and 1.63 for Musspor. This points to a Musspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Mardin 1969

15%

Draws

43%

Musspor

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Musspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Mardin 1969 picked up more points recently compared to Musspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 14%

Musspor Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mardin 1969	Musspor
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	19	19
Draws	5	6
Losses	6	5
Goals Scored	1.77	2.37
Goals Conceded	0.7	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 2. Lig Play Offs

Mardin 1969 vs Musspor

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Jan 11, 2026 2. Lig Red Group

Mardin 1969 vs Musspor

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Aug 24, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

Musspor vs Mardin 1969

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozturk M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Acer M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Musspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Budak B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 41 / 100

Musspor 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mardin 1969 Musspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Musspor or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mardin 1969 attacking → ← attacking Musspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mardin 1969 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Musspor let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Mardin 1969 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Musspor lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 63

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75