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Mardin 1969 vs Musspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Play Offs Diyarbakir Stadium, Diyarbakır
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ozturk M.
Assist: Kilinc Y.
61' Event
Acer M.
73' Event
Budak B.
Assist: Can Koc S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Mardin 1969
30%
Draws
51%
Musspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Musspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Mardin 1969 haven't matched Musspor's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Musspor's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Musspor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Musspor, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Musspor here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 17%
Musspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 Musspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.47 2.52
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 2. Lig Play Offs
Mardin 1969 vs Musspor
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Mardin 1969 vs Musspor
0:3
Aug 24, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Musspor vs Mardin 1969
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozturk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Musspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Budak B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 12 / 100
Musspor 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 Musspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mardin 1969's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Musspor let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Mardin 1969 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS Musspor
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mardin 1969

(Home)
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
29 Aug
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6

Musspor

(Away)
03 Oct
Inegol Kafkas
0 : 1
Musspor
27 Sept
Musspor
3 : 2
Aksaray Bld.
20 Sept
Soma Spor
1 : 3
Musspor
13 Sept
Musspor
4 : 0
Menemenspor
06 Sept
Erbaaspor
4 : 4
Musspor
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mardin 1969 1
K. Istklalspor 0
Aliaga 1
Musspor 2
Muglaspor 2
Sanliurfaspor 1
Elazigspor 6
Adana 01 3
Final
Mardin 1969 2
Musspor 1
Muglaspor 1
Elazigspor 0