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Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marek host Chernomorets 1919 in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chernomorets 1919 have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Marek have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.11. Past meetings favor Marek slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.81) back Chernomorets 1919 to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Marek
20%
Draws
47%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chernomorets 1919 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Marek Clean Sheet 11%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marek Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Vtora liga
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Marek
3:0
Nov 29, 2023 Vtora liga
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919
3:1
Jul 18, 2023 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Marek
0:2
Apr 20, 2008 efbet League
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marek 30 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marek Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Marek scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Marek has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chernomorets 1919 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marek VS Chernomorets 1919
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marek

(Home)
30 Oct
Marek
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
23 Oct
Vihren
1 : 1
Marek
17 Oct
Marek
0 : 3
Cherno More
10 Oct
Marek
3 : 2
Beroe
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
Page 1 of 6

Chernomorets 1919

(Away)
31 Oct
Nesebar
1 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
23 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 1
Svoge
18 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
0 : 4
Botev Plovdiv
10 Oct
Dobrudzha
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)