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Marek vs Dobrudzha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gospodinov D.
22'
Beshev K.
38' Event
Ganchev N.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Marek and Dobrudzha finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Marek
15%
Draws
48%
Dobrudzha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dobrudzha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marek come out ahead of Dobrudzha on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Marek Clean Sheet 68%
Dobrudzha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marek Dobrudzha
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.11 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Marek vs Dobrudzha
4:2
Apr 19, 2025 Vtora liga
Dobrudzha vs Marek
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Dobrudzha
0:2
May 13, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Dobrudzha
2:1
Oct 27, 2023 Vtora liga
Dobrudzha vs Marek
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marek Compare

Top Goalscorer Ganchev N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dyulgerov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Dobrudzha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gospodinov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halachev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marek 41 / 100
Dobrudzha 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marek Dobrudzha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dobrudzha conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Marek has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Marek scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Marek VS Dobrudzha
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marek

(Home)
30 Oct
Marek
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
23 Oct
Vihren
1 : 1
Marek
17 Oct
Marek
0 : 3
Cherno More
10 Oct
Marek
3 : 2
Beroe
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
Page 1 of 6

Dobrudzha

(Away)
27 Oct
Ludogorets II
5 : 1
Dobrudzha
19 Oct
Dobrudzha
2 : 1
Montana
10 Oct
Dobrudzha
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
04 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
27 Sept
Hebar
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)