Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Marek host Nesebar in the Vtora liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Nesebar have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Marek have conceded 1.04 and scored 1.08. Head-to-head, Marek have won 4 to Nesebar's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.50, favoring Nesebar. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nesebar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Nesebar's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Marek have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marek | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marek's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Nesebar let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Marek remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Marek
(Home)Nesebar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Fratria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Nesebar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Vihren | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 6 | Yantra Gabrovo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Gorna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Spartak Pleven | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 11 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Hebar | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Ludogorets II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 14 | Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 16 | Chernomorets 1919 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 0 |
