Sport Picks

Georgia

Liga 3

Margveti 2006

3 - 1

Betlemi Keda

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Kakushadze B.

36'

Baghdavadze S.

44'

Baghdavadze S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Margveti 2006 and Betlemi Keda finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Margveti 2006.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Margveti 2006

Draws

Betlemi Keda

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Margveti 2006

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Margveti 2006 come out ahead of Betlemi Keda on wins alone.
Margveti 2006 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 16%

Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Margveti 2006	Betlemi Keda
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	6
Draws	4	5
Losses	14	19
Goals Scored	0.88	0.88
Goals Conceded	2	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Liga 3

Margveti 2006 vs Betlemi Keda

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Oct 9, 2025 Liga 3

Margveti 2006 vs Betlemi Keda

Possession: 40% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

May 8, 2025 Liga 3

Betlemi Keda vs Margveti 2006

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Jun 6, 2017 Liga 3

Margveti 2006 vs Betlemi Keda

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Mar 25, 2017 Liga 3

Betlemi Keda vs Margveti 2006

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Margveti 2006 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baghdavadze S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kakushadze B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Betlemi Keda Compare

Top Goalscorer Khimshiashvili B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Margveti 2006 84 / 100

Betlemi Keda 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Margveti 2006 Betlemi Keda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Betlemi Keda conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Margveti 2006 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Margveti 2006 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Margveti 2006 VS Betlemi Keda

0.88 Goals Scored 0.88

2 Goals Conceded 2.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Tbilisi 2025	15	12	3	0	40:8	39
2	Guria	15	10	3	2	42:10	33
3	Iberia 1999 2	15	9	4	2	25:9	31
4	Gonio	15	9	3	3	25:11	30
5	Orbi	15	8	2	5	26:15	26
6	Merani Tbilisi	15	7	4	4	21:16	25
7	Didube	15	7	4	4	22:18	25
8	WIT Georgia	15	7	3	5	21:14	24
9	Dinamo Tbilisi 2	15	5	3	7	18:18	18
10	Khobi	15	5	2	8	20:28	17
11	Locomotive Tbilisi	15	4	4	7	14:21	16
12	Margveti 2006	15	5	1	9	15:30	16
13	FC Gardabani	15	3	4	8	14:30	13
14	Iveria Khashuri	15	1	6	8	13:28	9
15	Betlemi Keda	15	2	3	10	9:33	9
16	FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi	15	0	3	12	8:44	3