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Margveti 2006 vs Guria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
0 - 2
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Chaganava L.
39' Event
Kapanadze T.

AI Match Summary

Margveti 2006 host Guria in the Liga 3. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Margveti 2006 have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Guria's 2.76 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Guria slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.81, favoring Guria. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Margveti 2006
15%
Draws
47%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Guria have won more games recently than Margveti 2006.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Guria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 11%
Guria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Margveti 2006 Guria
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.46 2.76
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Margveti 2006
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Margveti 2006 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaganava L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kapanadze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Margveti 2006 27 / 100
Guria 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Margveti 2006 Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Margveti 2006 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Margveti 2006 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Guria has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Margveti 2006 VS Guria
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Margveti 2006

(Home)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Didube
0 : 3
Margveti 2006
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
Page 1 of 6

Guria

(Away)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)