Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Muzashvili T.
87' Event
Ugrekhelidze L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Margveti 2006 and Merani Tbilisi finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Margveti 2006
15%
Draws
44%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merani Tbilisi come out ahead of Margveti 2006 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Margveti 2006 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 16%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Margveti 2006 Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi
0:2
Apr 9, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Margveti 2006
0:1
Oct 2, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Margveti 2006
3:2
May 1, 2025 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi
2:1
Jun 10, 2024 Georgian Cup
Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Margveti 2006 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzashvili T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ugrekhelidze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Margveti 2006 41 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Margveti 2006 Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Margveti 2006 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Merani Tbilisi let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Margveti 2006 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Margveti 2006 VS Merani Tbilisi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Margveti 2006

(Home)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Didube
0 : 3
Margveti 2006
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
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Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)