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Maria de Fonte vs Braga B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Araujo Avelar Gomes T.
22' Event
Franca F.
37' Event
Kauan Kelvin

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Maria de Fonte and Braga B finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Maria de Fonte
20%
Draws
63%
Braga B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Braga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Braga B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Braga B a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Braga B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 16%
Braga B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maria de Fonte Braga B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Braga B
0:4
Mar 20, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Braga B
0:2
Oct 18, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Braga B vs Maria de Fonte
5:1
May 3, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Braga B vs Maria de Fonte
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Braga B
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maria de Fonte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Braga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo Avelar Gomes T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Franca F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maria de Fonte 10 / 100
Braga B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maria de Fonte Braga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Maria de Fonte scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Braga B let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Maria de Fonte stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maria de Fonte VS Braga B
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maria de Fonte

(Home)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
30 Aug
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Uniao Nogueirense
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
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Braga B

(Away)
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1
Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Braga B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 AD Limianos 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
6 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)