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Mariategui de Picota vs Coronel

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Mariategui de Picota advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mariategui de Picota
33%
Draws
27%
Coronel
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mariategui de Picota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coronel come out ahead of Mariategui de Picota on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mariategui de Picota's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Coronel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mariategui de Picota, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mariategui de Picota Clean Sheet 13%
Coronel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariategui de Picota Coronel
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2017 Copa Peru
Mariategui de Picota vs Coronel
4:0
Nov 19, 2017 Copa Peru
Coronel vs Mariategui de Picota
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariategui de Picota 39 / 100
Coronel 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariategui de Picota Coronel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mariategui de Picota scored in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Coronel has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Mariategui de Picota has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mariategui de Picota VS Coronel
1.71 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariategui de Picota

(Home)
10 Dec
Mariategui de Picota
2 : 3
Atletico Grau
06 Dec
Mariategui de Picota
1 : 2
Estudiantil CNI
03 Dec
Binacional
4 : 1
Mariategui de Picota
26 Nov
Mariategui de Picota
4 : 0
Coronel
19 Nov
Coronel
2 : 1
Mariategui de Picota
Page 1 of 2

Coronel

(Away)
26 Nov
Mariategui de Picota
4 : 0
Coronel
19 Nov
Coronel
2 : 1
Mariategui de Picota
12 Nov
Coronel
1 : 1
Sport La Vid
05 Nov
Sport La Vid
1 : 1
Coronel
15 Nov
Coronel
2 : 1
Defensor La Bocana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Atletico Grau3
Carlos Stein2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)3
Jose Maria Arguedas3
Mariategui de Picota3
Independiente Aguas Verdes3
Sport La Vid2
Coronel2
Binacional5
Defensor Laure Sur2
Jose Galvez1
Union San Martin3
Estudiantil CNI2
Juan Aurich Pastor1
Diablos Rojos Huancavelica0
Las Palmas5
Stage 2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stage 1
TBD-
TBD-
Final
Atletico Grau4
Jose Maria Arguedas4
Mariategui de Picota5
Coronel2
Binacional5
Union San Martin2
Estudiantil CNI3
Las Palmas3