Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maribor vs Aluminij

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Grlic N.
70' Event
Stamenkovic A.
78' Event
Repas J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Maribor and Aluminij finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maribor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Maribor
35%
Draws
23%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Maribor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Maribor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Maribor Clean Sheet 20%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maribor Aluminij
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.46 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Maribor
0:0
May 23, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Aluminij
3:0
Mar 20, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Maribor
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Aluminij
2:3
Sep 19, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Maribor
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maribor Compare

Top Goalscorer Grlic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Aluminij Compare

Top Goalscorer Stamenkovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maribor 85 / 100
Aluminij 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maribor Aluminij

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maribor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maribor scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Solid form: Maribor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aluminij has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Maribor VS Aluminij
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maribor

(Home)
15 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1
Maribor
09 Aug
Maribor
2 : 0
Koper
04 Aug
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
1 : 1
Maribor
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1
Maribor
25 Jul
Maribor
3 : 0
Grosuplje
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Aluminij

(Away)
16 Aug
Radomlje
1 : 3
Aluminij
09 Aug
Aluminij
1 : 1
Nafta
02 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Aluminij
30 Jul
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Aluminij
23 Jul
Aluminij
1 : 1
Dinamo City
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