Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Maribor host Aluminij in the Prva liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Aluminij have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Maribor have conceded 1.04 and scored 1.54. Head-to-head, Maribor have won 2 to Aluminij's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.00, favoring Maribor. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Maribor come out ahead of Aluminij on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Maribor's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maribor | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maribor scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Maribor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Aluminij conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Maribor
(Home)Aluminij
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Bravo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 15 |
| 3 | Koper | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 4 | O. Ljubljana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Nafta | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 6 | Aluminij | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:9 | 12 |
| 7 | Celje | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 8 | Mura | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 9 | Grosuplje | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Radomlje | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | 5 |