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Maribor vs Bravo

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Ljudski vrt, Maribor
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maribor host Bravo in the Prva liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Bravo have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Maribor have conceded 1.19 and scored 1.46. Past meetings favor Maribor slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.00) point toward Bravo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Maribor
35%
Draws
28%
Bravo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Bravo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maribor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Maribor Clean Sheet 20%
Bravo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maribor Bravo
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 16
Draws 11 2
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Prva liga
Bravo vs Maribor
3:0
Feb 22, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Bravo
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Prva liga
Bravo vs Maribor
2:3
Aug 16, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Bravo
3:3
Apr 13, 2025 Prva liga
Bravo vs Maribor
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maribor 85 / 100
Bravo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maribor Bravo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maribor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maribor's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Maribor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Bravo conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Maribor VS Bravo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maribor

(Home)
15 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1
Maribor
09 Aug
Maribor
2 : 0
Koper
04 Aug
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
1 : 1
Maribor
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1
Maribor
25 Jul
Maribor
3 : 0
Grosuplje
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Bravo

(Away)
09 Aug
Bravo
1 : 1
Grosuplje
02 Aug
Radomlje
1 : 2
Bravo
30 Jul
Shkendija Tetovo
3 : 1
Bravo
26 Jul
Bravo
0 : 3
Nafta
23 Jul
Bravo
2 : 1
Shkendija Tetovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
2 Nafta 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
3 Bravo 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
4 Celje 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
5 Koper 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
6 Grosuplje 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
7 Radomlje 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
8 Mura 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
9 O. Ljubljana 4 1 0 3 1:4 3
10 Aluminij 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)