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Marica vs Cabofriense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Marica Logo

Marica

1 - 0
FT
Cabofriense Logo

Cabofriense

Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Eduardo B.
83' Event
Freitas Barreto P. C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marica in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Marica
35%
Draws
13%
Cabofriense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Marica have won more games recently than Cabofriense.
  • Win probability leans Marica's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Marica Clean Sheet 68%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marica Cabofriense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Carioca 2
Marica vs Cabofriense
1:0
Jun 12, 2024 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Marica
0:0
Aug 2, 2023 Carioca 2
Marica vs Cabofriense
1:2
Jun 25, 2022 Carioca 2
Marica vs Cabofriense
1:1
Jul 31, 2021 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Marica
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marica Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas Barreto P. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Cabofriense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marica 77 / 100
Cabofriense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marica Cabofriense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marica scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Cabofriense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Marica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marica VS Cabofriense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.57
50% Over 1.5 71%
13% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Marica

(Home)
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0
Marica
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0
Boavista
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
Page 1 of 7

Cabofriense

(Away)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)